Do sports teams that train in high altitudes have a home advantage?


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Do sports teams that train in high altitudes have a home advantage?

This question came from a reader submission (thanks Jacqui!). Has a curious question stumped you lately? Feel free to submit your own question here:
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πŸ““ The short answer

There is strong statistical evidence that high-altitude teams have a home advantage, largely because visiting players experience reduced oxygen intake and quicker fatigue at elevation.



πŸ“š The long answer

It's high time we level up our understanding of whether training in high altitudes elevates a sports team's performance and, if so, why.

Let's start with the basics of how higher elevations affect the human body:

How does altitude affect the human body?

Air is a mixture of gases found in Earth's atmosphere, comprising about 78% nitrogen, 21% oxygen, and 1% argon, along with other trace gases. This proportion of gas molecules stays the same, regardless of elevation.

But at higher altitudes, these molecules are more spread out. As a result, you’re breathing in less oxygen in the mountains than you would at sea level.

When you take in less oxygen with each breath, your blood delivers less of it to your muscles. But muscles need oxygen to convert glucose into energy, so at higher altitudes you fatigue faster.

Fortunately the human body is awesome and can adapt to the thinner air by creating more red blood cells, which use hemoglobin to carry and deliver oxygen throughout your body.

When you spend time at higher altitudes, your body produces more erythropoietin, a hormone that triggers the production of red blood cells. With more red blood cells, your body becomes better at delivering oxygen to your muscles and organs, reducing fatigue. The process of acclimating takes anywhere from a few days to over a week.

Do sports teams that train in high altitudes have a home advantage?

Yes, there is data showing that high-altitude sports teams win home games more frequently than visiting teams unacclimated to the the elevation.

Here's a compelling chart from a statistical research report that found that Denver, Colorado sports teams have the largest home advantage in the NBA, NFL, and MLB (and a top-ten in the NHL).

Opposing teams coming to the "Mile High City" (or the "1.61 Kilometer High City") have a clear disadvantage because they're not acclimated to the altitude. For example, when the Denver Nuggets basketball team plays home games, they have a 67% win probability against equally matched opponents, giving them ~2.5 extra wins per season than the Brooklyn Nets, which have the lowest home advantage.

It's important to note that home teams generally do have an advantage (crowd support, no travel fatigue, venue familiarity, etc.), but this research suggests that, even if you control for these factors, altitude alone contributes significantly to Denver's home advantage.

Athletes are well-aware of this challenge when they come to Denver. Former Patriots linebacker Tedy Bruschi once commented on the high-altitude challenges:

β€œ
It's real. It affects you. The oxygen you're breathing into your muscles isn't the same. You feel yourself gasping."
β€” Tedy Bruschi

And Denver teams intentionally leverage their opponents' quick-to-fatigue-in-high-altitude challenges to their advantage. The Denver Nuggets aim to exhaust their opponents with one of the fastest paces in the NBA. The Denver Broncos have been known to play quick, no-huddle offense late in the game to capitalize on the defense's fatigue.

And Denver fans and facilities aim to psych out their opponents by reminding them they're playing at a disadvantage.

I know this has been a very American-sports-focused answer, so I'd be remiss if I left out what the data say about how altitude affects the most beautiful game.

There was a statistical analysis conducted on FIFA's 100+ year database of 1,460 football matches held in 10 countries which also showed that high-altitude teams had a clear home advantage. In fact, for every extra 1,000 meters altitude difference between the home and away team, the home team's margin of victory improved by half a goal. It's not just American teams that get winded at high altitude.

Do sports teams that train in high altitudes have an away advantage?

The reason why high-altitude home teams win more seems to be because their opponents fatigue faster and perform worse. But if living and training at high altitude improves your body's oxygen delivery, then theoretically you should be able to perform better athletically at sea level.

So it begs the question: Do sports teams that train in high altitudes have an away advantage?

This phenomenon has been widely studied in individual sports like running, swimming, and cycling. When an altitude-trained athlete competes at sea level, they're able to deliver more oxygen to their muscles, which gives them a performance boost of about 1-2%. That's why many elite athletes choose to live and train at higher altitudes.

But what about team sports? There is little published research showing evidence of improved team sport performance from altitude training. However, we do have some statistical evidence from ... you guessed it: Denver.

Analyses of the Denver Rockies baseball team have shown that their record at away games is not particularly strong. Since their first season in 1993, they've run up a .545 winning percentage at home and .396 on the road. That 150-point differential is the biggest home/away gap in the MLB. If you're a Rockies fan, it's going to be much more fun to cheer them on at home than on the road.

There's a reasonable explanation for why we don't see enhanced performance from high-altitude sports teams when they play at sea level.

We know that altitude training can improve an athlete's aerobic base because of increased red blood cell production. But team sports are a mix of aerobic (cardio) and anaerobic (sprints and power) exercise, and performance also hinges on factors like strength, skills, and team coordination.

Altitude-trained sports teams certainly may experience a marginal boost in their aerobic fitness when they play at sea level, but that edge may not overcome the usual disadvantages of being on the road, like travel fatigue, unsupportive crowds, and different weather.

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All my best,

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​Sources for this week's newsletter​



🌐 Wikipedia article of the week

​Violet Jessop​

"Violet Constance Jessop (2 October 1887 – 5 May 1971) was an Irish-Argentine ocean liner stewardess and Voluntary Aid Detachment nurse in the early 20th century. Jessop is best known for having survived the sinking of both RMS Titanic in 1912 and her sister ship HMHS Britannic in 1916, as well as having been aboard the eldest of the three sister ships, RMS Olympic, when it collided with the British warship HMS Hawke in 1911....
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She was the first of nine children, six of whom survived. Jessop spent much of her childhood caring for her younger siblings. She became very ill as a child with what is presumed to have been tuberculosis, which she survived contrary to doctors' predictions that her illness would be fatal."


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